Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.556335 1.627086 1.699727 1.780016 1.866427 1.956799 2.058677
2026-01-04 1.416219 1.515715 1.621742 1.743651 1.880598 2.030450 2.207872
2026-01-11 1.332363 1.453567 1.586769 1.745156 1.929869 2.140393 2.401301
2026-01-18 1.274108 1.412862 1.569447 1.761215 1.992534 2.266311 2.620743
2026-01-25 1.209762 1.359111 1.531294 1.747349 2.015452 2.343233 2.784292
2026-02-01 1.146439 1.301651 1.483746 1.716885 2.013196 2.385733 2.904423
2026-02-08 1.078784 1.234796 1.420310 1.661591 1.974115 2.375991 2.951472
2026-02-15 1.032583 1.191317 1.382584 1.635271 1.968875 2.407858 3.055168
2026-02-22 0.999518 1.162109 1.360583 1.626880 1.985250 2.468019 3.201910
2026-03-01 0.963690 1.127667 1.330010 1.605070 1.981324 2.498589 3.306344
2026-03-08 0.914892 1.074951 1.273832 1.546467 1.923385 2.448525 3.283416
2026-03-15 0.892612 1.055081 1.259026 1.542110 1.939736 2.505026 3.428842
2026-03-22 0.876800 1.044540 1.257937 1.559076 1.991166 2.622591 3.694842
2026-03-29 0.847093 1.015041 1.230847 1.539205 1.988906 2.660249 3.835545
2026-04-05 0.829180 1.000343 1.222869 1.545547 2.025374 2.760510 4.097126
2026-04-12 0.815948 0.991243 1.221898 1.561522 2.076994 2.888994 4.428107
2026-04-19 0.794527 0.970301 1.203709 1.551441 2.087661 2.951040 4.643492
2026-04-26 0.769595 0.943733 1.176637 1.526859 2.073821 2.970263 4.777075
2026-05-03 0.739121 0.908702 1.136536 1.481148 2.023705 2.923093 4.768924
2026-05-10 0.718123 0.886056 1.113097 1.459340 2.010690 2.939544 4.896228
2026-05-17 0.703056 0.871105 1.099982 1.452415 2.021249 2.998356 5.123522
2026-05-24 0.685288 0.851882 1.080093 1.434200 2.011916 3.019944 5.270690
2026-05-31 0.658839 0.819927 1.041036 1.385030 1.948344 2.936633 5.163870